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Projected share of the population 65+ in 2050: Mexican states ranked

Measure: Projected share of the population aged 65 and over in 2050 (%, derived). All 32 estados with data in Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico, ranked from highest to lowest. Reference period: 2050.

Licence
Fuente/Source: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), data file 05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv, consulted 2026-11-03. Open data, free to reuse with attribution under the Government of Mexico's Términos de Libre Uso MX (see CONAPO Datos Abiertos).
Data last updated
2026-11-09
Download full table CSVSource: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población) (opens in a new tab)

National value: 18.2 (Mexico).

Sonora: 19.3Baja California: 18Chihuahua: 18.8Coahuila de Zaragoza: 17.5Tamaulipas: 20Nuevo León: 16.7Quintana Roo: 15.3Campeche: 19.4Tabasco: 19Chiapas: 12.3Colima: 21.1Nayarit: 17.7Baja California Sur: 16.2Sinaloa: 19.4Yucatán: 19Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave: 22.1Jalisco: 17.7Michoacán de Ocampo: 15.7Guerrero: 17.1Oaxaca: 16.3México: 19.8Puebla: 15.4Morelos: 20.8Querétaro: 17.6Hidalgo: 18.8Guanajuato: 16.9San Luis Potosí: 17.5Zacatecas: 16.1Aguascalientes: 16.8Durango: 17.4Tlaxcala: 16.2Ciudad de México: 26.1
  • Lowest: 12.3 to 16.2 %
  • Group 2: 16.2 to 17.4 %
  • Group 3: 17.4 to 18.8 %
  • Group 4: 18.8 to 19.4 %
  • Highest: 19.4 to 26.1 %
The map is a visual summary; every value is in the table below, which is the keyboard and screen-reader path. Groups are quintiles of the values shown (a derived grouping). Boundaries: Natural Earth (public domain), simplified.

Rank is derived by Quadranac: 1 = highest value; ties share a rank. The ranked value is itself derived; see the source table for the method. Values are as published in the source table.

Note: CONAPO's 2023 projections; future values rest on assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration.

1Ciudad de México26.1
2Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave22.1
3Colima21.1
4Morelos20.8
5Tamaulipas20
6México19.8
7Campeche19.4
7Sinaloa19.4
9Sonora19.3
10Tabasco19
10Yucatán19
12Chihuahua18.8
12Hidalgo18.8
14Baja California18
15Jalisco17.7
15Nayarit17.7
17Querétaro17.6
18Coahuila de Zaragoza17.5
18San Luis Potosí17.5
20Durango17.4
21Guerrero17.1
22Guanajuato16.9
23Aguascalientes16.8
24Nuevo León16.7
25Oaxaca16.3
26Baja California Sur16.2
26Tlaxcala16.2
28Zacatecas16.1
29Michoacán de Ocampo15.7
30Puebla15.4
31Quintana Roo15.3
32Chiapas12.3

Source: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), Proyecciones de la Población de México y de las Entidades Federativas 2020–2070: Indicadores demográficos (file 05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv), mid-year population (POB_MIT_AÑO) and population aged 65 and over (MUJ_65_MAS + HOM_65_MAS) for 2025, 2030, 2040 and 2050. Reference period: 2025.

Cite this ranking

Mexican estados ranked by projected share of the population aged 65 and over in 2050 (%, derived) (2050). Data: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), Proyecciones de la Población de México y de las Entidades Federativas 2020–2070, Indicadores demográficos (05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv), mid-year population POB_MIT_AÑO for 2025, 2030, 2040 and 2050; rank derived by Quadranac. Data last updated 2026-11-09. https://quadranac.com/rankings/mx-estados-by-projected-share-of-the-population-aged-65-and-over-in-2050/

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