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Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico

CONAPO's official mid-year population for 2025 and projections for 2030, 2040 and 2050, with the projected change from 2025 to 2050 and the share of the population aged 65 and over in 2025 and 2050 (derived from CONAPO's counts of women and men aged 65 and over). Projections assume CONAPO's 2023 scenarios for fertility, mortality and migration; they are not forecasts of certainty.

Reference period
2025
Licence
Fuente/Source: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), data file 05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv, consulted 2026-11-03. Open data, free to reuse with attribution under the Government of Mexico's Términos de Libre Uso MX (see CONAPO Datos Abiertos).
Download CSVSource: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población) (opens in a new tab)

Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico: Population 202532 areas ranked by Population 2025. Highest: México (17.72M); lowest: Colima (767k).MéxicoMéxico: 17.72M17.72MCiudad de MéxicoCiudad de México: 9.18M9.18MJaliscoJalisco: 8.90M8.90MVeracruz de Ignacio de la Ll…Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave: 8.12M8.12MPueblaPuebla: 7.07M7.07MGuanajuatoGuanajuato: 6.54M6.54MNuevo LeónNuevo León: 6.41M6.41MChiapasChiapas: 6.11M6.11MMichoacán de OcampoMichoacán de Ocampo: 5.05M5.05MOaxacaOaxaca: 4.34M4.34MBaja CaliforniaBaja California: 4.13M4.13MChihuahuaChihuahua: 4.04M4.04MTamaulipasTamaulipas: 3.75M3.75MGuerreroGuerrero: 3.61M3.61MCoahuila de ZaragozaCoahuila de Zaragoza: 3.40M3.40MHidalgoHidalgo: 3.30M3.30MSinaloaSinaloa: 3.19M3.19MSonoraSonora: 3.14M3.14MSan Luis PotosíSan Luis Potosí: 2.98M2.98MQuerétaroQuerétaro: 2.65M2.65MYucatánYucatán: 2.51M2.51MTabascoTabasco: 2.47M2.47MQuintana RooQuintana Roo: 2.10M2.10MMorelosMorelos: 2.06M2.06MDurangoDurango: 1.93M1.93MZacatecasZacatecas: 1.71M1.71MAguascalientesAguascalientes: 1.55M1.55MTlaxcalaTlaxcala: 1.45M1.45MNayaritNayarit: 1.32M1.32MCampecheCampeche: 959k959kBaja California SurBaja California Sur: 904k904kColimaColima: 767k767k
Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico: Population 202532 areas ranked by Population 2025. Highest: México (17.72M); lowest: Colima (767k).MéxicoMéxico: 17.72M17.72MCiudad de MéxicoCiudad de México: 9.18M9.18MJaliscoJalisco: 8.90M8.90MVeracruz de Ignac…Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave: 8.12M8.12MPueblaPuebla: 7.07M7.07MGuanajuatoGuanajuato: 6.54M6.54MNuevo LeónNuevo León: 6.41M6.41MChiapasChiapas: 6.11M6.11MMichoacán de Ocam…Michoacán de Ocampo: 5.05M5.05MOaxacaOaxaca: 4.34M4.34MBaja CaliforniaBaja California: 4.13M4.13MChihuahuaChihuahua: 4.04M4.04MTamaulipasTamaulipas: 3.75M3.75MGuerreroGuerrero: 3.61M3.61MCoahuila de Zarag…Coahuila de Zaragoza: 3.40M3.40MHidalgoHidalgo: 3.30M3.30MSinaloaSinaloa: 3.19M3.19MSonoraSonora: 3.14M3.14MSan Luis PotosíSan Luis Potosí: 2.98M2.98MQuerétaroQuerétaro: 2.65M2.65MYucatánYucatán: 2.51M2.51MTabascoTabasco: 2.47M2.47MQuintana RooQuintana Roo: 2.10M2.10MMorelosMorelos: 2.06M2.06MDurangoDurango: 1.93M1.93MZacatecasZacatecas: 1.71M1.71MAguascalientesAguascalientes: 1.55M1.55MTlaxcalaTlaxcala: 1.45M1.45MNayaritNayarit: 1.32M1.32MCampecheCampeche: 959k959kBaja California S…Baja California Sur: 904k904kColimaColima: 767k767k
Population 2025, 2025, sorted high to low. 32 areas ranked by Population 2025. Highest: México (17.72M); lowest: Colima (767k). Full data in the table below.Source: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población).

Click a column header to sort; the national total stays pinned at the top.

Mexico (national)133,367,428138,033,990144,476,530146,943,94810.28.818.2
Aguascalientes1,549,1181,635,3111,771,9011,855,89419.87.516.8
Baja California4,131,6194,398,6754,835,2625,113,34423.87.418
Baja California Sur904,052989,2121,133,7061,237,00836.86.816.2
Campeche958,567972,005978,565960,3760.28.219.4
Coahuila de Zaragoza3,400,2573,588,7723,895,2304,090,83820.38.217.5
Colima767,105786,372808,766807,9595.39.521.1
Chiapas6,107,9036,474,1187,089,5797,569,22223.96.212.3
Chihuahua4,043,1304,239,6564,535,5384,672,51115.68.418.8
Ciudad de México9,183,6589,032,7058,609,4238,015,397-12.712.526.1
Durango1,927,1281,980,2712,053,5212,075,4097.78.517.4
Guanajuato6,537,6696,775,1727,114,2717,279,39711.37.916.9
Guerrero3,607,4343,585,5153,473,7863,296,844-8.6917.1
Hidalgo3,299,8573,457,7953,697,0743,816,29115.7918.8
Jalisco8,903,3269,259,9079,784,75310,051,67112.98.817.7
México17,723,17318,144,61918,474,72218,175,6672.68.319.8
Michoacán de Ocampo5,045,0305,246,5165,564,9935,764,22514.38.915.7
Morelos2,056,1032,104,7412,151,3732,132,2863.710.220.8
Nayarit1,324,2821,388,7671,485,0181,540,22916.39.317.7
Nuevo León6,413,1236,907,5707,769,3718,430,36231.58.216.7
Oaxaca4,339,3774,474,7844,681,4564,784,68010.39.416.3
Puebla7,070,1247,443,3708,018,8268,365,64718.37.915.4
Querétaro2,654,4212,875,3963,238,1193,481,88731.27.417.6
Quintana Roo2,101,6382,288,4322,588,4802,789,22332.75.115.3
San Luis Potosí2,979,7753,083,3243,237,1273,314,63311.29.217.5
Sinaloa3,187,4663,277,7793,380,1193,379,81269.719.4
Sonora3,140,7623,266,0413,451,4213,528,91612.49.219.3
Tabasco2,467,5192,485,8412,476,4802,405,281-2.57.919
Tamaulipas3,748,4193,873,3934,035,8644,060,3388.39.120
Tlaxcala1,447,7211,526,7721,648,8571,726,22719.27.616.2
Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave8,121,2758,046,7107,754,8367,296,743-10.210.822.1
Yucatán2,513,4612,649,6702,871,4573,018,68720.19.119
Zacatecas1,712,9361,774,7791,866,6361,906,94411.38.716.1

Source: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), Proyecciones de la Población de México y de las Entidades Federativas 2020–2070: Indicadores demográficos (file 05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv), mid-year population (POB_MIT_AÑO) and population aged 65 and over (MUJ_65_MAS + HOM_65_MAS) for 2025, 2030, 2040 and 2050. Reference period: 2025.

Cite this table

Source agency
CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población)
Dataset
Proyecciones de la Población de México y de las Entidades Federativas 2020–2070, Indicadores demográficos (05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv), mid-year population POB_MIT_AÑO for 2025, 2030, 2040 and 2050
Table
Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico
Data last updated
2026-11-09
Page
https://quadranac.com/tables/mx-population-projections/

Population projections to 2050 by state, Mexico (Mexico, 2025). Data: CONAPO (Consejo Nacional de Población), Proyecciones de la Población de México y de las Entidades Federativas 2020–2070, Indicadores demográficos (05_Indicadores_demograficos_proyecciones.csv), mid-year population POB_MIT_AÑO for 2025, 2030, 2040 and 2050. Retrieved 2026-11-09 via Quadranac, https://quadranac.com/tables/mx-population-projections/